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Dwarkesh Podcast

Dwarkesh Podcast

Dwarkesh Patel 150 - 8 Predictions for the Era of Continual Learning

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Gepubliceerd 07 aug. 2026

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Afleveringen

8 Predictions for the Era of Continual Learning

Why smarter AI models could drive up compute prices 10x

Adam Brown – A deep but accessible introduction to general relativity

Grant Sanderson – AI and the future of math

The next big breakthrough will be AIs learning on the job

The data black hole at the center of AI

Ada Palmer – Machiavelli is the most misunderstood thinker of all time

Alex Imas and Phil Trammell – What remains scarce after AGI?

Reiner Pope – Chip design from the bottom up

Eric Jang – Building AlphaGo from scratch

David Reich – Why the Bronze Age was an inflection point in human evolution

Reiner Pope – The math behind how LLMs are trained and served

Jensen Huang – TPU competition, why we should sell chips to China, & Nvidia’s supply chain moat

Michael Nielsen – How science actually progresses

Terence Tao – Kepler, Newton, and the true nature of mathematical discovery

Dylan Patel — Deep dive on the 3 big bottlenecks to scaling AI compute

The most important question nobody's asking about AI

Why Leonardo was a saboteur, Gutenberg went broke, and Florence was weird – Ada Palmer

Dario Amodei — "We are near the end of the exponential"

Elon Musk — "In 36 months, the cheapest place to put AI will be space”

Adam Marblestone — AI is missing something fundamental about the brain

Thoughts on AI progress (Dec 2025)

Sarah Paine — Why Russia Lost the Cold War

Ilya Sutskever — We're moving from the age of scaling to the age of research

Satya Nadella — How Microsoft is preparing for AGI

Sarah Paine — How Russia sabotaged China's rise

Andrej Karpathy — AGI is still a decade away

Nick Lane – Life as we know it is chemically inevitable

Some thoughts on the Sutton interview

Richard Sutton – Father of RL thinks LLMs are a dead end

Fully autonomous robots are much closer than you think – Sergey Levine

How Hitler almost starved Britain – Sarah Paine

Evolution designed us to die fast; we can change that — Jacob Kimmel

China is killing the US on energy. Does that mean they’ll win AGI? — Casey Handmer

Artificial meat is harder than artificial intelligence — Lewis Bollard

Sarah Paine — How Imperial Japan defeated Tsarist Russia & Qing China

Stephen Kotkin — How Stalin became the most powerful dictator in history

Why I don’t think AGI is right around the corner

A billion years of evolution in a single afternoon — George Church

Why China's manufacturing economy is dominating — Arthur Kroeber

"China is digging out of a crisis. And America’s luck is wearing thin." — Ken Rogoff

Xi Jinping’s paranoid approach to AGI, debt crisis, & Politburo politics — Victor Shih

Is RL + LLMs enough for AGI? — Sholto Douglas & Trenton Bricken

What will automated firms look like?

Mark Zuckerberg — AI will write most Meta code in 18 months

Why Rome actually fell: plagues, slavery, & ice age — Kyle Harper

AGI is still 30 years away — Ege Erdil & Tamay Besiroglu

AI 2027: month-by-month model of intelligence explosion — Scott Alexander & Daniel Kokotajlo

AMA: career advice given AGI, how I research ft. Sholto & Trenton

Joseph Henrich — Humans defeated smarter species with cultural evolution